분석
- 전개
- 1.31.(화) 어깨선 하방에서 마감
- 2.1.(수) 어깨선 회복
- 2.2.~3. 일중 매수/매도 경합하며 어깨선 상방에서 마감
- 예상 : 일간차트상 상승삼각형에 기초한 완만한 상승세 예상
- 일간차트상 1.25. 갭상승 이후 최고가가 완만하게 하향하면서 상승갭 하단을 사수하는 형태로 상승삼각형이 그려지고 있음
- 기간 : 1.25.~2.23. (28일간)
- 돌파 예상시기 : 2.9.(목) ~ 2.13.(월) 사이 (삼각형 밑변의 1/2~2/3 사이 구간)
- 향후 고려요인
- (상승 근거) 어깨선에 대한 강한 지지세가 확인됨 / 거래량 증가와 매물대 지지
- (하락 근거) 고가를 갱신하지 못하고 있음 / 1월 급등세에 대한 피로감과 거시적인 호재의 부재
- (주요 일정) 2.10.(금) 중국 1월 물가지수 발표 : 과연 중국의 경기회복세가 지수 상승으로 연결될까? / 기업들 4분기+2022년 실적 발표 계속(한국금융지주, 하나금융지주, 카카오, 디즈니)
매매전략
- 주요 매매내역
- (인버스) 1.31. 어깨선 붕괴시 인버스 600주 매도
- (레버리지) 1.27. 고점 갱신일에 40주 매도 / 1.31. 어깨선 붕괴시 30주 매수
- 금주 매매전략
- 상승세에 무게를 두고 고가 갱신에 실패하는 양상이 전개되는 경우 레버리지 분할매수
- 1.25. 상승갭 하단(317.63)에 근접하는 경우 인버스 매도/레버리지 매수
- 317.63이 무너지는 경우 레버리지 대량 매수(손절구간은 3%)
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